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Saudi Arabia’s Strategic Reset: Why Normalization With Israel Is No Longer a Straight Line

  A New Phase in Riyadh’s Regional Strategy Saudi Arabia has shifted from rapid diplomatic exploration to a more deliberate, conditional approach. Despite global expectations that it might follow the path of earlier Gulf signatories, Riyadh has effectively paused momentum toward normalizing ties with Israel. Its message is unequivocal: recognition will only come after the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital. This transforms normalization from a near-term prospect into a long-term geopolitical negotiation. Why the Abraham Accords Are No Longer Enough For years, regional diplomacy revolved around the Abraham Accords—agreements signed without the participation of the region’s most influential Arab power . Today, Saudi discourse frames those accords as incomplete. With Iran perceived as less immediately threatening and the regional balance shifting, Riyadh is prioritizing strategic autonomy over alignment pressure. The Palestinian ques...

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